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Today in the legislature, Opposition Leader
Roger Grimes provided proof that the Bond Rating Agencies still see the
finances of Newfoundland and Labrador as stable, and not a concern, as
expressed by Danny Williams and Loyola Sullivan.
Below is an excerpt from the debate:
MR. GRIMES: Thank you, Mr. Speaker.
Mr. Speaker, another question for the alternate to the Minister of
Finance and President of Treasury Board. The Premier and the President of
Treasury Board consistently claim that they need to do something about
future benefits like sick leave - and here is the key, Mr. Speaker - at the
urging of the bond rating agencies.
On March 16, the Premier, in the presence of the Minister of Natural
Resources, claimed at a press conference that he had - and this is a very
important phrase - he had alarming correspondence from the bond rating
agencies and, as late as last evening, he said that is why they need to
change provisions such as sick leave.
Would the alternate to the Minister of Finance describe to us, and answer
for us, what actual correspondence from bond rating agencies is in the hands
of government, and could she table it for us?
MR. SPEAKER: The hon. the Government House Leader.
SOME HON. MEMBERS: Hear, hear!
MR. E. BYRNE: Thank you, Mr. Speaker.
Mr. Speaker, given the fact and the acknowledgment that this year’s
Budget was a tough piece of work, not unlike what the Leader of the
Opposition, in many budgets that he was involved with and brought down
himself, has gone through. Given the fact that, even through all of that,
the Minister of Finance and President of Treasury Board, on Budget Day and
in the Budget Speech, introduced a Budget, recognized that this year’s
accrued deficit would be $840 million, much of what we did -
AN HON. MEMBER: (Inaudible).
MR. E. BYRNE: I am about to answer the question, I say to the
Member for Twillingate & Fogo.
Much of what we did was on the advice of trying to maintain a balance
between ensuring that our current credit rating remains in place - and I
know the Leader of the Opposition understands the importance of that,
because if there was any downgrade in that, government could be faced with
trying to find an additional $55 million to $75 million to $150 million if
there was a downgrade.
Now, given the question that the member has just asked me in terms of the
correspondence - Can it be tabled? Will I find it? - I can only say on
behalf of the government that I will take that matter under advisement and I
will report back to the House at the earliest possible opportunity.
SOME HON. MEMBERS: Hear, hear!
MR. SPEAKER: The hon. the Leader of the Opposition.
SOME HON. MEMBERS: Hear, hear!
MR. GRIMES: Thank you, Mr. Speaker.
I appreciate the answer and the undertaking, Mr. Speaker. Maybe I can
save the House Leader, who seems to be going to answer the questions instead
of the Minister of Health and Community Services, who is the alternate to
the Minister of Finance, I will save him some work. As a matter of fact, I
have in my hands here a response to a Freedom of Information request that we
placed to the government asking for that information, and I will provide him
the answer.
The response that we received from the Deputy Minister of Finance is that
there is, in fact, no alarming correspondence from the bond rating agencies,
as the Premier stated on March 16. As a matter of fact, it goes on to say,
with the Deputy Minister of Finance, there is no correspondence from bond
rating agencies at all. None whatsoever.
Now we have a government answering in the House today that if the bond
rating changes we might have these dire consequences, because again we have
a situation being described to the Province other than what actually exists.
Mr. Speaker, let me ask this question: On October 29, as a matter of
fact, after the election, with the new government already in place, the
Dominion Bond Rating Service, which is one of those bond rating agencies,
confirmed the credit rating of Newfoundland and Labrador. It did not say it
might be downgraded. It confirmed it and stated, and it is their quote:
Trends remain stable. Trends remain stable.
MR. SPEAKER: Order please!
I ask the member now to complete his question.
MR. GRIMES: Yes, Mr. Speaker.
The question is an important one. Why is the government, whoever is
speaking or answering on behalf of the government, misinforming the public
and trying to justify a totally unnecessary attack on collective bargaining
benefit items, with information that is completely and totally at odds with
what the bond rating agencies put in the possession of the new government a
week after they were elected?
SOME HON. MEMBERS: Hear, hear!
MR. SPEAKER: The hon. the Government House Leader.
SOME HON. MEMBERS: Hear, hear!
MR. E. BYRNE: Thank you, Mr. Speaker.
Mr. Speaker, maybe I should wait and let the leader ask all of his
questions. He has asked a question and then stands up - to which an answer
he already had, or he believes that he was in possession of.
The fact of the matter is this - and maybe the Leader of the Opposition
should write a Freedom of Information request. Maybe he already has. If he
has, I am not aware of it. Maybe he should ask for the correspondence of
what the fiscal agents of the Province had told the Province and the
provincial government sometime in November and December. The response was
clear, and the royal commission on our position within Canada, a commission
which he started, Mr. Speaker, said exactly the same thing, that the fiscal
situation and spending practices of the Province are unsustainable. In other
words, we couldn’t spent $1 billion this year more than we had, we couldn’t
spend another $1.1 billion next year that we didn’t have, we couldn’t spend
$1.2 billion the year after that, or $1.3 billion after that; in doing so,
adding almost $4.5 billion to our debt.
The only place that would bring us, Mr. Speaker, is to a point where
there would be absolutely no level of service -
MR. SPEAKER: Order, please!
I ask the member now to complete his answer.
MR. E. BYRNE: - for people in Newfoundland and Labrador.
SOME HON. MEMBERS: Hear, hear!
MR. SPEAKER: The hon. the Leader of the Opposition.
SOME HON. MEMBERS: Hear, hear!
MR. GRIMES: Thank you, Mr. Speaker.
The Government House Leader would know, having been in this position,
that we ask the questions because we know the answers but the government
hasn’t bothered to tell the people of the Province what the answer is, and
they need to find out.
Mr. Speaker, let me move again - because the Government House Leader who,
I guess, is designated today to answer the questions said: Well, in October
that might have been true. That might have been what a bond rating agency
said in October, but we got different information in November and December.
Let me provide this information and ask this question, Mr. Speaker.
Moody’s, which is another bond rating agency, provided information to the
government in January of 2004, just before the Premier spoke to the people
of the Province on January 5. Here is what they stated, their quote: We
assign an A-3 rating to the Province, the highest it has ever had in
history, having raised it in May, 2002. The upgrade that we provided
recognizes the Province’s - listen to this! - improved debt profile since
the mid-1990s, and its brighter -
MR. SPEAKER: Order, please!
I ask the member now to complete his question.
MR. GRIMES: Yes, Mr. Speaker.
- and its brighter economic prospects.
Now, they sat in the Cabinet, they sat in the Caucus, they suggested it.
The statement finished by saying - this is January when the Premier was
about to go to the people of the Province saying, we are drowning in debt -
the Province’s rating outlook is stable.
Mr. Speaker, the question - can the Government House Leader answer on
behalf of the Premier? - is that the alarming correspondence that the
Premier said in his presence in a press conference on March 16, that he had
received from the bond rating agency? Is that what they are talking about?
SOME HON. MEMBERS: Hear, hear!
MR. SPEAKER: The hon. the Government House Leader.
SOME HON. MEMBERS: Hear, hear!
MR. E. BYRNE: Thank you, Mr. Speaker.
Mr. Speaker, we believe, based on the information that has been provided
to us, that one of -
MR. GRIMES: (Inaudible).
MR. E. BYRNE: The Leader of the Opposition has asked a question. I
listened to his question. I wonder if he would have the courtesy to listen
to my answer.
Much of the reason why we have not seen, at this point, or probably will
see a downgrade in the Province’s credit rating which would put at risk -
admittedly, the Leader of the Opposition shook his head when I talked about
it earlier - the Province having to find an additional, anywhere from $50
million to $150 million, depending on the length of the downgrade or how
much the downgrade was. Where would we find the money to do all of the other
things that we are currently doing?
Mr. Speaker, when we became the government earlier this year, or in the
last year, we faced a fiscal situation that was almost three times greater
than - when in 1989, as a member of a former government - he faced. Almost
three times greater!
Let me say to the Leader of the Opposition, that we took the view that he
did. This is what he said then: The problem has always been that if you do
not -
MR. SPEAKER: Order, please!
I ask the minister now to conclude his answer.
MR. E. BYRNE: - sooner or later take the bull by the horns, Mr.
Speaker, and deal with it, you can always delay, but every week, month or
year of delay will put you in a more difficult problem to grapple with it
and provide public services to the people of the Province.
That is the situation that we inherited from you and your government,
Sir. That is the situation that we are trying to deal with on behalf of
everybody.
SOME HON. MEMBERS: Hear, hear!
MR. SPEAKER: The hon. the Leader of the Opposition.
SOME HON. MEMBERS: Hear, hear!
MR. GRIMES: Thank you, Mr. Speaker.
That is the story they have chosen to believe themselves and are trying
to foist on the people of the Province. Today we are getting to the truth,
Mr. Speaker.
SOME HON. MEMBERS: Hear, hear!
MR. GRIMES: Mr. Speaker, not the bond rating agencies but the
Province’s own financial advisors, a separate group of advisors that they
pay rather well to advise the Minister of Finance and the Premier. They
advise government that the bond raters who gave us stable ratings, raised
our ratings, did not say they were at risk at all, nothing alarming, things
are stable. Does the government understand the difference between the
situation is stable verus the situation is alarming? What is alarming is
what is happening in the Province today, twenty-one days into a strike, Mr.
Speaker.
SOME HON. MEMBERS: Hear, hear!
MR. GRIMES: Mr. Speaker, the government’s own advisors said the
bond raters want to see an action plan that is front-end loaded, which is
why we do understand that the Premier and the President of Treasury Board
are out with the negotiators today, probably talking about a two-year wage
freeze. That is front-end loaded, that is action in the early years. Those
kinds of things are what is recommended.
MR. SPEAKER: Order, please!
I ask the member now to complete his question.
MR. GRIMES: Yes, Mr. Speaker.
The issue that we have been talking about here and the reason this strike
is going into its fourth week is about sick leave, in which there is no
savings for the government for years and years and years to come, because
they are going to get rid of 4,000 employees in the next four years.
MR. SPEAKER: Order, please!
The Chair appreciates the exchange that is back and forth, but the last
set of questions we were nearly two minutes in the asking and we were a
minute-and-forty in the response. We are now up to a minute-and-forty in the
asking and we should get these exchanges done a lot faster. A few seconds to
put the question.
MR. GRIMES: Yes, Mr. Speaker.
The question for the Government House Leader is: Why has this government
caused a strike that is now finishing its third week and endanger of going
into its forth week over an issue that has nothing whatsoever to do with
alarming correspondence or with front-end loading an action plan in the
Province?
SOME HON. MEMBERS: Hear, hear!
MR. SPEAKER: The hon. the Government House Leader.
SOME HON. MEMBERS: Hear, hear!
MR. E. BYRNE: Thank you, Mr. Speaker.
Mr. Speaker, we have to come to recognize, and I know the Leader of the
Opposition does, that the financial situation that faces all of us - this is
not thirty-three members on the government side who have an $840 million
deficit. This is a 510,000 people problem in Newfoundland and Labrador. Now,
this is what the Leader of the Opposition said when he sat on government. He
said: Health board deficits are continuing to grow at an alarming rate; $40
million this year, $50 million in 2001, $65 million in 2002. We are on an
extremely dangerous course, if not contained, could lead to financial
disaster for Newfoundland and Labrador. The fact, sir, is this: You did
nothing about it, you recognized the problem and you left us holding the
bag.
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